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Can Cebu Foster a High-Tech Cluster?
By Michael Alan Hamlin
February 26, 2001

No one knows for sure how to foster a high-tech industrial cluster. In fact, no government or private-sector consortium has ever strategically intended to develop an industrial cluster of any kind and actually succeeded. Instead, industrial clusters tend to develop when all the ingredients of the particularly appropriate soup are in place, sort of like some theories of natural creation.

What we do know about high-tech cluster evolution is that like most evolutionary processes, it’s messy, and chaotic. We also know that at the center of the process are heavyweight educational institutions that attract — but frequently fail to retain — very bright people. They leave to start fulfilling their visions, but still draw on the pool of bright people they leave behind. While there are other ingredients to the evolutionary soup that produces high-tech clusters, they seem to be drawn together by intellectual excellence manifest in innovative ideas with apparently practical application.

So venture capitalists, people, corporate sponsors of research and development are not "in place" when the cluster begins to evolve. Like sharks picking up the scent of blood in the water, they move in to capitalize on, absorb, or ride the wave of innovation that clusters catalyze. But in doing so, they also contribute to the evolutionary process.

One ingredient that seems to be noticeably absent from successful high-tech industrial cluster development — so far, at least — is government intervention. While regional governments like Hong Kong, Singapore, and especially Malaysia have spent grandly on science parks and high-tech investment zones, universally these initiatives have been undertaken without the benefit of existing, respected, producing institutions of higher learning.

In recent years each of these governments has belatedly acknowledged the role of education in fostering high-tech cluster development. And they have as a result spent lavishly developing what one day are likely to be impressive institutions. But educational institutions don’t evolve overnight. It takes decades to develop a respected faculty with influence in their fields and the private sector, a strong research and development program, and the prestige to attract the brightest people around.

For that reason, principally, I’ve frequently argued that the high profile initiatives of these governments are experiments in political and enterprise folly. High-tech cluster development has little to do with waving a financial magic wand and enjoying immediate gratification. Instead, it has to do with developing people, and the institutions that train them.

Why is it then that my firm has accepted an appointment to help organize and manage an IT summit sponsored by the Cebu city government? Am I simply failing to practice what I preach out of greed (Nope, the fee we’re getting won’t cover our costs. As one executive involved in the summit said, "These guys need to give something back to the community.")? Am I willing to conveniently forget my principles and arguments when a high-profile opportunity presents itself that may generate future opportunities for my firm?

While it’s often nice to be involved in important, high-profile initiatives, playing a key role in one that turns out not to be successful can be pretty embarrassing (I guess…). But when we were presented with this opportunity, we quickly agreed, even though it’s a government initiative — specifically Mayor Alvin Garcia’s with support from the Cebu Investment Promotions Center — and I’ve argued that government should be passively supportive of enterprise development rather than the architect.

But Mr. Garcia doesn’t seem to be trying to architect, at least not alone. In statements to the media the mayor has called on the national government, the IT sector in particular, and business in general to develop a do-able IT vision for the city, and to develop alternatives for achieving that vision. Mr. Garcia appears to be genuinely trying to play the role of catalyst: he’s trying to get everybody in the kitchen — that’s not there already — to help make that evolutionary soup. That brings us back to my earlier argument that high-tech cluster evolution can’t really be managed.

A U.S.-based venture capitalist/incubator told me recently that she didn’t believe that Metro Manila would ever develop into a high-tech cluster. Her argument was that the Philippines’ capital is a political city, and there’s never been an instance in which a high-tech cluster developed successfully in a political environment. While Metro Manila is also a major enterprise center, this VC said innovation requires an environment that nurtures fundamental risk taking and contemplation. Hardly the kind of environment we find in Manila.

Manila also has a lot of technical schools, and more are in development. And that should be encouraging. But Cebu does too — including six universities that attract students from the entire southern Philippines and graduate thousands of IT engineers and programmers every year. Although no reliable estimate of Internet users in Cebu is available, we do know that the city — at about one tenth of the size of Metro Manila — has 30 Internet service providers and 300 Internet cafés.

As a result, Cebu has attracted the sharks. Virtually every appliance NEC produces, for instance, is programmed in Cebu, and the company is building another major development center. Because of the dependable supply of graduates churned out by the universities, investors like NEC don’t have the turnover problems that their counterparts in Luzon and Metro Manila regularly face.

The point is that Cebu is already evolving into a high-tech cluster, and it’s done so pretty much like other successful clusters: on the strength of intellectual resources. What the Cebu IT Summit should do is to look at ways that will continue to nurture that development, rather than try to manage it. And it looks like that’s what’s going to happen.

Four principal themes provide the framework for the meeting: human resources, infrastructure, capital mobilization, and public policy. Plenary sessions will feature representatives of organizations that are and are eager to invest in Cebu because of the potential it already exhibits, not hoped for. And that’s why we’re involved.

For the ride.

(Mr. Hamlin is managing director of the consultancy TeamAsia and the author of two books on Asian economies and managing in Asia. His latest book is The New Asian Corporation: Managing for the Future in Post-Crisis Asia. His e-mail address is mahamlin@teamasia.com.ph.)


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