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No Respect
By Michael Alan Hamlin
July 22, 2003

The Philippines was back in the headlines this week, and for all the wrong reasons, as usual. For what some say are mysterious and others say obvious reasons, admitted Jemaah Islamiya (JI) operative and convicted bomber Fathur Rohman al-Ghozi slipped out of a maximum security cell at the notoriously porous headquarters of the Philippine National Police (PNP) last week along with two somewhat less infamous members of the Abu Sayyaf.

As irony would have it, the break came during a state visit by Australian prime minister John Howard, who came with financial and training commitments to aid the Philippines in its effort to combat terrorism. Too bad he didn't get here earlier.

However, problems like the al-Ghozi escape aren't matters of funding and expertise, they're matters of honesty and integrity, and the quality of people in the PNP. At a higher level, they're a matter of command authority, and the failure to hold senior police officers accountable for the poor performance - and even poorer reputation - of the PNP. And there is a high price to pay for that failure that go far beyond even the alarming escape of an international terrorist who takes pleasure in murdering young children and other innocents.

This latest PNP atrocity will confirm in many minds, for instance, that the Philippines deserves all the positive attention it's not getting. To give you an idea of what that means in practical terms, consider an article under the headline "Philippines Stock Market Gets No Respect" in the July 17 issue of The Asian Wall Street Journal. The article reports that while the Philippine stock market is "one of the highest-flying" in Asia for the year, "the country's shares remain off the radar screens of many international fund investors."

What's "keeping investors at bay," author Rita Raagas De Ramos continued, "are concerns about political instability, threats to security, and a ballooning budget deficit, as well as a dearth of good-quality stocks." That view sends investors heading for stock markets in Indonesia, Thailand, and Malaysia with the result, according to Reginold Tan as reported by de Ramos, that "the Philippines is simply irrelevant." Tan is research head at Crédit Agricole Asset Management in Singapore.

As I observed in this space two weeks ago, uncertainty about the 2004 elections exacerbates these already highly exacerbated circumstances. "There are concerns over who will run and win," Sheree Tan, chief investment officer at Morley-Fund Management, told de Ramos. Former president Joseph Estrada "didn't turn out great. If we get another disappointment, that will hurt sentiment further."

Within the Philippines, range over chronic corruption, indifference, and incompetence within government is building, as demonstrated by the growing popularity of once marginal presidential candidates like senator Panfilo ("Ping") Lacson, who promises to get tough with corrupt officials and exert determined leadership. In large measure, Lacson's popularity is a function of the ruling administration's own angst. Its crude attempts to discredit Lacson - who may deserve to be legitimately discredited for all I know - have backfired in classic function, and instead have served to legitimize his candidacy, making him a potent contender next year. But his long-term appeal evolves from his record for dealing with kidnap gangs and other gangsters in a terminal fashion, or at least that's the legend.

ANC New's Business Sentiments host Ricky Carandang asked me last week how al-Ghozi's escape affected the local business community. Although I can't claim to speak for the Philippines' splintered business community, my impression is that we've grown immune from these kinds of developments. We're like those funeral directors in Six Feet Under. Dead bodies just don't seem very out of the ordinary, anymore.

Rather than being surprised, shocked, and dismayed, we've accepted our fate. As the unhappy investment banker played by Nicolas Cage in The Family Man tells his colleagues about making a Christmas Day business trip, "This is my life. This is what I do." And that's what we do here, essentially accepting that it may really be impossible to change government, to reform the bureaucracy, or to expect our police officers to do their duty to us, rather than to themselves.

That's why we get no respect.

(Michael Alan Hamlin is the managing director of consultancy TeamAsia and the author of three books on Asian economies and companies. His latest book is Marketing Asian Places, of which he is a co-author (Wiley, 2001), and he is currently at work on High Visibility: The Making and Marketing of Asian Professionals into Celebrities. Write him at mahamlin@teamasia.com.).

Copyright © 2003 Michael Alan Hamlin. All Rights Reserved.

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